FL-02House

Likely R

Open seat: was Dunn (R)

Rogers leads · R +8.0

Chance of winning

Amanda Green, DemocraticAustin Rogers, Republican

12%88%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +0.8R +16.8

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +7.3 and R +8.7.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Rogers: 91¢ and 88%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Rogers: 91¢ and 88%.Kalshi