FL-03House

Forecast: Solid R

Incumbent: Kat Cammack (R)

Final forecast

Seth Harp, DemocraticKat Cammack, Republican

2%98%

projected winnerNov 3, 10:00 PM ET

Cammack won R +12.2

Won by 36,515 votes · checked 31 min ago

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +6.0R +23.5

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +14.1 and R +15.5.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Cammack: 95¢ and 98%.Kalshi

Est. vote in: ~95%300,422 votes
Checked: 31 min agocivicAPI (opens in a new tab), unofficial
Cast before Election Day: 156,512University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab), updated Oct 31

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Cammack 98%, R +14.8Result Cammack won by 12.2