FL-07House

Forecast: Toss-up

Open seat: was Mills (R)

Final forecast

Bale Dalton, DemocraticRyan Elijah, Republican

36%64%

Not called yet · 324,454 votes

Elijah leads R +0.5

Leads by 1,631 votes · checked 15 min ago

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +6.3R +11.3

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +1.8 and R +3.2.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Elijah: 64¢ and 64%.Kalshi

Est. vote in: ~95%324,454 votes
Checked: 15 min agocivicAPI (opens in a new tab), unofficial
Cast before Election Day: 185,220University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab), updated Oct 31

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Elijah 64%, R +2.5