FL-26House

Solid R

Incumbent: Mario Diaz-Balart (R)

Diaz-Balart leads · R +15.2

Chance of winning

Nicole Locklin, DemocraticMario Diaz-Balart, Republican

1%99%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +6.5R +24.0

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +14.5 and R +15.9.

For comparison

Traders are 13 points less sure of Diaz-Balart than the forecast: 86¢ against 99%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders are 13 points less sure of Diaz-Balart than the forecast: 86¢ against 99%.Kalshi