FL-27House

Likely R

Incumbent: Maria Elvira Salazar (R)

Salazar leads · R +7.5

Chance of winning

Eliott Rodriguez, DemocraticMaria Elvira Salazar, Republican

8%92%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +0.6R +14.3

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +6.9 and R +8.0.

For comparison

Traders are 28 points less sure of Salazar than the forecast: 64¢ against 92%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders are 28 points less sure of Salazar than the forecast: 64¢ against 92%.Kalshi