LA-01House

Solid R

Incumbent: Steve Scalise (R)

Scalise leads · R +31.7

Chance of winning

Lauren Jewett, DemocraticSteve Scalise, Republican

<0.1%>99.9%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +18.6R +44.8

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +30.7 and R +32.7.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Scalise: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi

No polls of this race yet.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Scalise: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi