LA-02House

Solid D

Incumbent: Troy Carter Sr. (D)

Carter leads · D +60.9

Chance of winning

Troy Carter Sr., DemocraticPeter Williams, Republican

>99.9%<0.1%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +74.0D +47.8

8.0% of modeled margins fall between D +61.9 and D +59.9.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Carter: 99¢ and 100%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Carter: 99¢ and 100%.Kalshi