Skip to content
CloseCall
    • Senate
    • House
    • Governors
    • Senate
    • House
    • Governors
    • Forecast guide
    • My picks
    • My leagues
    • Leaderboard
    • Picks guide
    • Senate
    • House
    • Governors

Results

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors

Forecast

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors
  • Forecast guide

Picks

  • My picks
  • My leagues
  • Leaderboard
  • Picks guide

Polls

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors

The site

  • About
  • Contact
  • Privacy
  • Terms
Theme
Results

LA-06House

Solid R

Open seat: was Fields (D)

Republicans lead · R +20.1

Chance of winning

3 Democrats, Democratic3 Democrats6 Republicans, Republican6 Republicans

2%98%

ForecastR +20.1PollsNone yetResultsR +16.1

Likely range

Margin points
Forecast
R +7.0R +33.2
D +15.8EvenR +56.0

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +19.1 and R +21.1.

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Democrats ()Republicans ()
5¢Kalshi95¢
2%Forecast98%

They agreeTraders and the forecast agree on Republicans: 95¢ and 98%.Kalshi

Polls

No polls of this race yet.

  1. Chauna Banks (D)50,882 votes19.4%
  2. Blake Miguez (R)50,214 votes19.2%
  3. Rick Edmonds (R)49,242 votes18.8%
  4. Rubia Garcia (D)33,544 votes12.8%
  5. Stephen Wagley (R)28,169 votes10.8%
  6. Pat Forbes (D)23,822 votes9.1%
  7. Larry Davis III (R)11,359 votes4.3%
  8. Monique Appeaning (R)8,110 votes3.1%
  9. Rufus Craig (O)3,461 votes1.3%
  10. Michael Mebruer (R)3,160 votes1.2%
Est. vote in
~95%261,963 votes
Checked
21 min agocivicAPI (opens in a new tab), unofficial

Forecast before the vote R +20.1

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Democrats ()Republicans ()
5¢Kalshi95¢
2%Forecast98%

They agreeTraders and the forecast agree on Republicans: 95¢ and 98%.Kalshi

Key races

Forecast margin

The closest house calls

Results

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors

Forecast

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors
  • Forecast guide

Picks

  • My picks
  • My leagues
  • Leaderboard
  • Picks guide

Polls

  • Senate
  • House
  • Governors
CloseCallAboutContactPrivacyTermsXBluesky© 2026 CloseCall