MN-01House

Forecast: Toss-up

Incumbent: Brad Finstad (R)

Final forecast

Jake Johnson, DemocraticBrad Finstad, Republican

38%62%

Not called yet · 326,179 votes

Johnson leads D +0.1

Leads by 322 votes · checked 15 min ago

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +4.8R +7.9

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +1.1 and R +2.1.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Finstad: 62¢ and 63%.Kalshi

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Finstad 63%, R +1.6