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Results

MN-03House

Forecast: Solid D

Incumbent: Kelly Morrison (D)

·

Final forecast

Kelly Morrison, DemocraticKelly Morrison (D)Tyler Bass, RepublicanTyler Bass (R)

>99.9%<0.1%

projected winnerProjected winnerNov 4, 12:42 AM ET

Morrison won

Won by 106,575 votes · checked 31 min ago

ForecastD +34.8PollsNone yetResultsProjected: D +28.2

Likely range

Margin points
Forecast
D +43.6D +26.0
D +58.7D +10.9

8.0% of modeled margins fall between D +35.5 and D +34.1.

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Morrison (D)Bass (R)
97¢Kalshi2¢
100%Forecast0%

They agreeTraders and the forecast agree on Morrison: 97¢ and 100%.Kalshi

Polls

No polls of this race yet.

  1. Kelly Morrison (D)projected winnerProjected242,079 votes64.0%
  2. Tyler Bass (R)135,504 votes35.8%
  3. Write-in413 votes0.1%
Est. vote in
~95%377,996 votes
Checked
31 min agocivicAPI (opens in a new tab), unofficial

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Morrison >99.9%, D +34.8Result Morrison won

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