MN-04House

Solid D

Incumbent: Betty McCollum (D)

McCollum leads · D +47.3

Chance of winning

Betty McCollum, DemocraticPaul Wikstrom, Republican

>99.9%<0.1%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +56.1D +38.5

8.0% of modeled margins fall between D +48.0 and D +46.6.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on McCollum: 99¢ and 100%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on McCollum: 99¢ and 100%.Kalshi