MN-06House

Solid R

Incumbent: Tom Emmer (R)

Emmer leads · R +13.6

Chance of winning

Doug Chapin, DemocraticTom Emmer, Republican

2%98%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +4.8R +22.3

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +12.9 and R +14.3.

For comparison

Traders are 5 points less sure of Emmer than the forecast: 93¢ against 98%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders are 5 points less sure of Emmer than the forecast: 93¢ against 98%.Kalshi