MN-07House

Forecast: Solid R

Incumbent: Michelle Fischbach (R)

Final forecast

Erik Osberg, DemocraticMichelle Fischbach, Republican

<0.1%>99.9%

projected winnerNov 3, 11:48 PM ET

Fischbach won

Won by 98,818 votes · checked 31 min ago

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +21.6R +39.2

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +29.7 and R +31.1.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Fischbach: 97¢ and 100%.Kalshi

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Fischbach >99.9%, R +30.4Result Fischbach won