MN-08House

Likely R

Incumbent: Pete Stauber (R)

Stauber leads · R +5.6

Chance of winning

Trina Swanson, DemocraticPete Stauber, Republican

13%87%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +0.7R +12.0

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +5.1 and R +6.1.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Stauber: 83¢ and 87%.Kalshi

1 poll in the forecast · their lead R +4.8 Poll results: Adjusted · Raw results R +6.5

1 with no party sponsor

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Stauber: 83¢ and 87%.Kalshi