NC-07House

Likely R

Incumbent: David Rouzer (R)

Rouzer leads · R +7.7

Chance of winning

Kim Hardy, DemocraticDavid Rouzer, Republican

10%90%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +0.1R +15.4

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +7.1 and R +8.3.

For comparison

Traders are 15 points less sure of Rouzer than the forecast: 75¢ against 90%.Kalshi

1 poll in the forecast · their lead R +9.2 Poll results: Adjusted · Raw results R +7.1

1 party-sponsored (1 D)

For comparison

Traders are 15 points less sure of Rouzer than the forecast: 75¢ against 90%.Kalshi