NC-10House

Solid R

Incumbent: Pat Harrigan (R)

Harrigan leads · R +11.3

Chance of winning

Ashley Bell, DemocraticPat Harrigan, Republican

5%95%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +2.6R +19.9

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +10.6 and R +11.9.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Harrigan: 94¢ and 95%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Harrigan: 94¢ and 95%.Kalshi