TN-05House

Solid R

Open seat: was Ogles (R)

Hatcher leads · R +13.4

Chance of winning

Chaz Molder, DemocraticCharlie Hatcher, Republican

1%99%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +5.9R +20.8

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +12.8 and R +13.9.

For comparison

Traders are 11 points less sure of Hatcher than the forecast: 88¢ against 99%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders are 11 points less sure of Hatcher than the forecast: 88¢ against 99%.Kalshi