TN-06House

Solid R

Open seat: was Rose (R)

Garrett leads · R +16.5

Chance of winning

Mike Croley, DemocraticJohnny Garrett, Republican

0.8%99.2%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +7.7R +25.3

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +15.8 and R +17.2.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Garrett: 96¢ and >99%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Garrett: 96¢ and >99%.Kalshi