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Results

TN-07House

Solid R

Incumbent: Matt Van Epps (R)

Van Epps leads · R +15.9

Chance of winning

Darden Copeland, DemocraticDarden Copeland (D)Matt Van Epps, RepublicanMatt Van Epps (R)

1%99%

ForecastR +15.9PollsNone yetResultsProjected: R +2.2

Likely range

Margin points
Forecast
R +7.1R +24.7
D +8.0EvenR +39.8

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +15.2 and R +16.6.

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Copeland (D)Van Epps (R)
7¢Kalshi94¢
1%Forecast99%

Traders less sure of Van Epps by 5 pointsTraders are 5 points less sure of Van Epps than the forecast: 94¢ against 99%.Kalshi

Polls

No polls of this race yet.

  1. Darden Copeland (D)115,867 votes48.1%
  2. Matt Van Epps (R)projected winnerProjected121,100 votes50.3%
  3. Andrew J. Koontz2,603 votes1.1%
  4. Lowell Reynolds1,316 votes0.5%
Est. vote in
~90%240,886 votes
Checked
21 min agocivicAPI (opens in a new tab), unofficial

Forecast before the vote · win chance and margin Van Epps 99%, R +15.9Result Van Epps won

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Copeland (D)Van Epps (R)
7¢Kalshi94¢
1%Forecast99%

Traders less sure of Van Epps by 5 pointsTraders are 5 points less sure of Van Epps than the forecast: 94¢ against 99%.Kalshi

Key races

Forecast margin

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