FL-01House

Solid R

Incumbent: Jimmy Patronis Jr. (R)

Patronis leads · R +30.7

Chance of winning

Gay Valimont, DemocraticJimmy Patronis Jr., Republican

<0.1%>99.9%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +21.9R +39.5

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +30.0 and R +31.4.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Patronis: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on Patronis: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi