FL-09House

Lean R

Incumbent: Darren Soto (D)

Green leads · R +2.8

Chance of winning

Darren Soto, DemocraticDan Green, Republican

30%70%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

D +4.2R +9.9

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +2.3 and R +3.4.

For comparison

Traders are 10 points less sure of Green than the forecast: 60¢ against 70%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders are 10 points less sure of Green than the forecast: 60¢ against 70%.Kalshi