TN-04House

Solid R

Incumbent: Scott DesJarlais (R)

DesJarlais leads · R +16.4

Chance of winning

Victoria Broderick, DemocraticScott DesJarlais, Republican

0.8%99.2%

Likely range

Margin points

Forecast

R +7.7R +25.2

8.0% of modeled margins fall between R +15.8 and R +17.1.

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on DesJarlais: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi

For comparison

Traders and the forecast agree on DesJarlais: 98¢ and >99%.Kalshi