Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.8

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

56%44%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.8 Polls 37D +3.1 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

37 polls

37 polls in the forecast · their lead D +3.1 Poll results: Adjusted · Raw results D +3.6

35 with no party sponsor · 2 party-sponsored (2 D)

Loading every poll…

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi

Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.8

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

56%44%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.8 Polls 37D +3.1 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

37 polls

37 polls in the forecast · their lead D +3.1 Poll results: Adjusted · Raw results D +3.6

35 with no party sponsor · 2 party-sponsored (2 D)

Loading every poll…

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi

Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.8

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

56%44%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.8 Polls 37D +3.1 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

37 polls

37 polls in the forecast · their lead D +3.1 Poll results: Adjusted · Raw results D +3.6

35 with no party sponsor · 2 party-sponsored (2 D)

Loading every poll…

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
56%	Forecast	44%

Traders are 12 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 56%.Kalshi