Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.9

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

57%43%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.9 Polls 37D +3.3 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Counting starts

7:30 p.m. ET Tue, Nov 3

in 7 days · when every poll in Ohio closes

Counted: —
Updated: —
Call: Not called

Forecast Brown 57%, D +0.9

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi

Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.9

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

57%43%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.9 Polls 37D +3.3 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Counting starts

7:30 p.m. ET Tue, Nov 3

in 7 days · when every poll in Ohio closes

Counted: —
Updated: —
Call: Not called

Forecast Brown 57%, D +0.9

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi

Ohio (special)SenateOhio (special)Sen.

Toss-up

Incumbent: Jon Husted (R)

Brown leads · D +0.9

Chance of winning

Sherrod Brown, DemocraticJon Husted, Republican

57%43%

Make your pick

ForecastD +0.9 Polls 37D +3.3 Results7:30 p.m. ET

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi

Loading the forecast’s history and its working…

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Counting starts

7:30 p.m. ET Tue, Nov 3

in 7 days · when every poll in Ohio closes

Counted: —
Updated: —
Call: Not called

Forecast Brown 57%, D +0.9

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Who wins Ohio (special)?

Your pick counts in Picks and your leagues.

Make your pick

The race

Likely range: R +6 to D +7held in 78% of past tests
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ETTue, Nov 3

Nominees set May 5 ; uncertified ; Ballot source (opens in a new tab)

Betting market

For comparison

The betting market's price against the forecast's chance, for each side
Brown (D)		Husted (R)
68¢	Kalshi	33¢
57%	Forecast	43%

Traders are 11 points surer of Brown than the forecast: 68¢ against 57%.Kalshi